Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.760167e-03 0.001939 0.002118 0.002312 0.002514 0.002718 0.002940
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.423238e-03 0.001699 0.001987 0.002308 0.002653 0.003012 0.003411
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.143198e-03 0.001491 0.001869 0.002305 0.002786 0.003299 0.003881
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.395605e-04 0.001345 0.001803 0.002347 0.002964 0.003634 0.004408
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.659638e-04 0.001212 0.001738 0.002381 0.003128 0.003952 0.004918
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.104174e-04 0.001081 0.001661 0.002391 0.003258 0.004230 0.005384
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.549623e-04 0.000927 0.001541 0.002339 0.003307 0.004412 0.005738
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.487471e-04 0.000823 0.001470 0.002338 0.003411 0.004652 0.006157
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.649256e-04 0.000735 0.001412 0.002345 0.003520 0.004895 0.006577
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.209403e-04 0.000701 0.001422 0.002436 0.003729 0.005254 0.007131
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.830123e-04 0.000669 0.001431 0.002523 0.003932 0.005605 0.007675
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.110421e-04 0.000554 0.001308 0.002428 0.003902 0.005674 0.007886
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.042832e-05 0.000463 0.001217 0.002379 0.003939 0.005837 0.008227
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.194795e-05 0.000405 0.001173 0.002394 0.004059 0.006105 0.008697
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.247001e-05 0.000350 0.001127 0.002403 0.004172 0.006366 0.009162
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.590076e-06 0.000315 0.001111 0.002455 0.004341 0.006698 0.009715
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.193505e-08 0.000280 0.001089 0.002496 0.004495 0.007010 0.010246
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000240 0.001052 0.002510 0.004612 0.007276 0.010720
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000187 0.000976 0.002459 0.004636 0.007424 0.011050
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000154 0.000935 0.002460 0.004730 0.007659 0.011485
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000126 0.000902 0.002468 0.004833 0.007903 0.011932
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000120 0.000920 0.002562 0.005055 0.008301 0.012568
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000113 0.000936 0.002652 0.005272 0.008692 0.013195